Kalshi · 籃球
plan.thread，Kalshi 上的 MLB 高手：29 單、命中率 62.1%、盈利 $4K。真實持倉往績，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 60 條預測（ 至 ）中已結算 60 條：命中 37、未中 23，這批紀錄的命中率為 61.7%。
| 所屬聯賽 | 紀錄數 | 已結算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 31 | 31 | 17 | 54.8% |
| WNBA | 25 | 25 | 18 | 72.0% |
| NPB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| LNBP | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
plan.thread 主要預測MLB：最近 60 筆記錄中有 31 筆。平台：Kalshi。
按我們收集到的已結算訂單：29 單、命中率 62.1%、盈利 $4K、回報率 16.2%。在MLB，最近 31 筆已結算預測中命中 17 筆。
命中率 = 命中的已結算預測 ÷ 已結算預測，未結算不計。盈虧與回報率按每筆公開持倉的成本與結算結果計算。過往戰績不代表未來結果。
資料來源：Kalshi 公開持倉。數據截至 2026-08-24 10:22 UTC+8。計算方法：計算方法說明
| 日期 | 賽事 | 預測 | 結果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19–16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Under 37.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2–19 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 11.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-23 | 達拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) 92–70 西雅圖風暴 (Seattle Storm) WNBA | Under 179.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | Baltimore Orioles 1–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | 鳳凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 89–99 亞特蘭大美夢 (Atlanta Dream) WNBA | Under 187.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-23 | 鳳凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) 89–99 亞特蘭大美夢 (Atlanta Dream) WNBA | Under 181.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-23 | 紐約自由人 (New York Liberty) 109–102 印第安納狂熱 (Indiana Fever) WNBA | Under 213.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-22 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-22 | 多倫多節奏 (Toronto Tempo) 82–79 波特蘭火焰 (Portland Fire) WNBA | Under 172.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Milwaukee Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-19 | 華盛頓神秘 (Washington Mystics) 93–82 多倫多節奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Under 175.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1–2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 10.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Astros 2–3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-16 | 亞特蘭大美夢 (Atlanta Dream) 91–95 印第安納狂熱 (Indiana Fever) WNBA | Indiana vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 5–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-16 | Toronto Blue Jays 3–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Reds 1–7 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Cincinnati Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-15 | 西雅圖風暴 (Seattle Storm) 82–84 波特蘭火焰 (Portland Fire) WNBA | Under 180.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | 康乃狄克太陽 (Connecticut Sun) 69–104 亞特蘭大美夢 (Atlanta Dream) WNBA | Under 177.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Washington Nationals 7–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Washington Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Chicago WS 8–9 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Chicago WS Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 91–71 芝加哥天空 (Chicago Sky) WNBA | Under 169.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | 波特蘭火焰 (Portland Fire) 81–85 明尼蘇達山貓 (Minnesota Lynx) WNBA | Under 189.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | 達拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) 94–88 多倫多節奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Under 185.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | Detroit Tigers 6–4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 1–2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 7–1 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-12 | 洛杉磯火花 (Los Angeles Sparks) 87–94 鳳凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) WNBA | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | 未中 |
| 2026-08-12 | Chicago WS 4–5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Chicago WS Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | 印第安納狂熱 (Indiana Fever) 106–92 紐約自由人 (New York Liberty) WNBA | Under 200.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-11 | Yomiuri Giants 1–9 Hanshin Tigers NPB | Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-11 | Chunichi Dragons 5–2 Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | Minnesota Twins 9–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Minnesota Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7–2 Houston Astros MLB | Under 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | 洛杉磯火花 (Los Angeles Sparks) 78–84 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Under 162.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 10.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | 明尼蘇達山貓 (Minnesota Lynx) 103–90 達拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) WNBA | Under 188.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-09 | 華盛頓神秘 (Washington Mystics) 95–75 鳳凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) WNBA | Under 170.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | 華盛頓神秘 (Washington Mystics) 95–75 鳳凰城水星 (Phoenix Mercury) WNBA | Under 42.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Nationals 7–1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | 波特蘭火焰 (Portland Fire) 100–93 西雅圖風暴 (Seattle Storm) WNBA | Under 192.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-08 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-08 | 明尼蘇達山貓 (Minnesota Lynx) 98–87 拉斯維加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) WNBA | Under 185.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-08 | 達拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) 76–94 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Under 171.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-08 | 達拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) 76–94 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) WNBA | Golden State vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-08 | 華盛頓神秘 (Washington Mystics) 79–74 亞特蘭大美夢 (Atlanta Dream) WNBA | Under 157.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-05 | 紐約自由人 (New York Liberty) 92–86 西雅圖風暴 (Seattle Storm) WNBA | Under 46.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 6–5 New York Yankees MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 3–0 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-29 | San Francisco Giants 16–3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 14.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | 未中 |
| 2026-07-27 | Texas Rangers 7–3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 8.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-07-26 | 蒙特雷力量 (Fuerza Regia) 95–89 墨西卡利太陽 (Soles de Mexicali) LNBP | Soles de Mexicali vs Fuerza Regia: Soles de Mexicali wins | 未中 |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-07-26 | Team Coop 122–129 Team Spoon WNBA | Under 279.5 | 命中 |